Insights · April 27th, 2026
This image for this article has been a mainstay in my keynotes for the past 4 years. The shuffling for global economic power and a likely state for the mid-2030s.
Now we see that China has taken the #1 position from the US.
At a conference 2 yrs ago a well-known economist said US innovates, China replicates and Germany regulates BUT now China takes the lead…
New OECD data shows China’s gross domestic expenditure on R&D hit $1.03 trillion in 2024, edging out the U.S. at $1.01 trillion—both crossing the $1 trillion mark as worldwide spending reached $3.8 trillion. China’s spending grew 9.7% that year, nearly triple the U.S. rate, with a clearer lead when adjusted for purchasing power parity.

While the U.S. holds advantages in GDP share, high-impact research, and innovation influence, China’s surge in fields like AI and biotech signals its rise as a scientific powerhouse.
The way the world works is being defined from China to Europe – water, energy, food, tech, peace (for those that believe in it), and more.
Read more in the OECD report here.
About Nikolas Badminton
Nikolas Badminton is the Chief Futurist & Hope Engineer at futurist.com. He’s a world-renowned futurist keynote speaker, consultant, author, media producer, and executive advisor that has spoken to, and worked with, over 500 of the world’s most impactful organizations and governments.
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