Insights · April 27th, 2026

This image for this article has been a mainstay in my keynotes for the past 4 years. The shuffling for global economic power and a likely state for the mid-2030s.

Now we see that China has taken the #1 position from the US.

At a conference 2 yrs ago a well-known economist said US innovates, China replicates and Germany regulates BUT now China takes the lead…

New OECD data shows China’s gross domestic expenditure on R&D hit $1.03 trillion in 2024, edging out the U.S. at $1.01 trillion—both crossing the $1 trillion mark as worldwide spending reached $3.8 trillion. China’s spending grew 9.7% that year, nearly triple the U.S. rate, with a clearer lead when adjusted for purchasing power parity.

While the U.S. holds advantages in GDP share, high-impact research, and innovation influence, China’s surge in fields like AI and biotech signals its rise as a scientific powerhouse.

The way the world works is being defined from China to Europe – water, energy, food, tech, peace (for those that believe in it), and more.

Read more in the OECD report here.

About Nikolas Badminton

Nikolas Badminton is the Chief Futurist & Hope Engineer at futurist.com. He’s a world-renowned futurist keynote speaker, consultant, author, media producer, and executive advisor that has spoken to, and worked with, over 500 of the world’s most impactful organizations and governments.

Please contact futurist speaker and consultant Nikolas Badminton to discuss your engagement.

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Nikolas Badminton – Chief Futurist

Nikolas Badminton

Nikolas is the Chief Futurist of the Futurist Think Tank. He is world-renowned futurist speaker, a Fellow of The RSA, and has worked with over 300 of the world’s most impactful companies to establish strategic foresight capabilities, identify trends shaping our world, help anticipate unforeseen risks, and design equitable futures for all. In his new book – ‘Facing Our Futures’ – he challenges short-term thinking and provides executives and organizations with the foundations for futures design and the tools to ignite curiosity, create a framework for futures exploration, and shift their mindset from what is to WHAT IF…

Contact Nikolas